Working Capital Risk Control

Predictive Risk Intelligence - DSO, DPO, Cash (UC1)
Working Capital Risk - Provenance
Refreshed: 2026-07-19 19:06 UTC
SOURCE
Working Capital SOR (Postgres)
Scope: Entity: GLOBAL ยท Horizon: 30d
POLICY
DSO/DPO tolerances + cash risk policy
EVIDENCE
Signals + recommendations with trace
RECORDS
6 signal records
ACTION
Review signals, approve actions, or intervene
Control Objective
Maintain DSO <= 45 | DPO >= 30 | Cash >= $14M
Escalation Threshold
Intervene when breach probability > 50%
Operating Posture (Now)
ATTENTION REQUIRED Score: 50/100
What Changed (Last 24 Hours)
Auto-updated every 15 min
DSO Risk
+106.2d
DSO 151 vs target 45 โ€” overdue AR driving gap
DPO Risk
+114.8d
DPO 145 days โ€” well above 30d target
Cash Risk
+$136.0M
$150M โ€” $136M above minimum threshold
Days Sales Outstanding
151.2
Target: 45.0 days
Owner: Regional AR Lead
Days Payable Outstanding
144.8
Target: 30.0 days
Owner: Procurement Ops
Cash Position
$150.0M
Health Score: 50%
Owner: Treasury
Overall Risk Score
50
Amber -> Owner notified
Likelihood of Missing DSO Target
99%
Confidence: High
Value at Risk: $420K
Risk Horizon
! 99%
99% probability of missing DSO target in 30 days
Likelihood of Missing DPO Target
5%
Confidence: High
Value at Risk: $180K
Risk Horizon
+ 5%
DPO breach risk low
Likelihood of Cash Shortfall
5%
Confidence: High
Value at Risk: $85K
Risk Horizon
+ 5%
Cash shortfall risk low
Decision Ownership & Escalation Logic
DSO Risk Owner
Regional AR Lead - Americas
! Notified
DPO Control Owner
Procurement Operations
! Notified
Cash Control Owner
Treasury
! Notified
Escalation Logic: Green -> Monitor Amber -> Owner notified Red -> Judgment Queue + CFO visibility
C Collection Risk Signals 4 Open | $230,835,247 at risk
Severity Type Customer Amount DSO Impact
CRITICAL AGING_SPIKE Orsted A/S $77,256,306 10 days
CRITICAL AGING_SPIKE Siemens Gamesa $63,347,999 10 days
CRITICAL AGING_SPIKE Neste Corporation $47,206,757 10 days
CRITICAL AGING_SPIKE NextEra Energy $43,024,185 10 days
View all signals ->
* Payables Timing Recommendations 2 Pending | +0 DPO days
Vendor Amount Due Date Recommended DPO Impact Risk
Vestas Wind Systems $1,338,232 2026-04-01 2026-07-19 +0 days RED
Siemens Gamesa Renewable $8,730,571 2026-04-01 2026-07-19 +0 days RED
View all recommendations ->
Simulate Risk Scenarios
What if collections slow? What if we defer payments?
Open Simulator ->
Total Value at Risk (30 days)
$685K
DSO: $420K | DPO: $180K | Cash: $85K
Connected bp Sphere Capabilities
Judgment Queue Simulation (What-If) Value Office Audit Evidence

Working Capital parity proof

P2P gold-standard parity contract: every mission must expose Signal, Context, Policy, Evidence, Decision, Action, Replay, and Learning with inspectable records and source lineage.

L1 Signal
L2 Context
L3 Policy
L4 Evidence
L5 Decision + Action
L6 Outcome
L7 Replay + Learning
LinkArtifactWhat can be inspectedDrilldown
SignalTICK-WC-44071Large commitment and collections delay shifted cash forecast and liquidity posture.
Open
L1-L7 proof: Signal is tied to source lineage, agent identity, policy gate, evidence pack, human boundary, action payload, replay record, and learning outcome. Artifact TICK-WC-44071 is the inspection handle for this mission.
ContextCTX-WC-44071Supplier, customer, invoice, payment terms, cash pool, treasury owner, and forecast resolved.
Open
L1-L7 proof: Context is tied to source lineage, agent identity, policy gate, evidence pack, human boundary, action payload, replay record, and learning outcome. Artifact CTX-WC-44071 is the inspection handle for this mission.
PolicyFIN-WC-011 v3.0Working-capital action requires treasury visibility, value proof, and approval path.
Open
L1-L7 proof: Policy is tied to source lineage, agent identity, policy gate, evidence pack, human boundary, action payload, replay record, and learning outcome. Artifact FIN-WC-011 v3.0 is the inspection handle for this mission.
EvidenceEP-WC-44071AR ageing, AP schedule, cash forecast, supplier terms, customer payment pattern.
Open
L1-L7 proof: Evidence is tied to source lineage, agent identity, policy gate, evidence pack, human boundary, action payload, replay record, and learning outcome. Artifact EP-WC-44071 is the inspection handle for this mission.
DecisionDEC-WC-44071Sequence payments and accelerate collection actions for trapped cash release.
Open
L1-L7 proof: Decision is tied to source lineage, agent identity, policy gate, evidence pack, human boundary, action payload, replay record, and learning outcome. Artifact DEC-WC-44071 is the inspection handle for this mission.
ActionACT-WC-44071Draft payment-timing and collection workflows for supervisor approval.
Open
L1-L7 proof: Action is tied to source lineage, agent identity, policy gate, evidence pack, human boundary, action payload, replay record, and learning outcome. Artifact ACT-WC-44071 is the inspection handle for this mission.
ReplayRPL-WC-44071 - 98.2%Cash signal, source records, policy result, action payload, and outcome replayable.
Open
L1-L7 proof: Replay is tied to source lineage, agent identity, policy gate, evidence pack, human boundary, action payload, replay record, and learning outcome. Artifact RPL-WC-44071 - 98.2% is the inspection handle for this mission.
LearningLRN-WC-44071Collections-delay and payment-sequencing pattern retained for future prioritization.
Open
L1-L7 proof: Learning is tied to source lineage, agent identity, policy gate, evidence pack, human boundary, action payload, replay record, and learning outcome. Artifact LRN-WC-44071 is the inspection handle for this mission.
RecordBusiness objectImpactActionPolicy
AR-88301Overdue customer exposure$42.0MCollections priorityFIN-COLLECTIONS-022
AP-55219Payment timing window$18.5MSequence releaseFIN-WC-011
POOL-GLB-001Global cash pool$118.0MTreasury reviewFIN-TREASURY-LIQ-017